Rohingya:Insaan pay tang Khudai hey..What can be done?

Pakistan is a sacred trust, the way ASEAN countries have treated poor Rohingya Muslims is a Grimm reminder of the principles Pakistan if founded upon. Those who oppose Pakistan would suffer in this life and the after. What is happening in Burma? Indian backed Buddhist Gov is persecuting this community of Muslims. Stripped of nationality, persecuted attacked and abandoned, some of them tried to enter Indonesia, Malaysia, Bangladesh and Thailand. Bangladesh refused upfront. Thailand has rather politely declined but Indonesia and Malaysia have refused to allow refugees to enter their countries outright. They would even send them back if they somehow enter their countries.

In 1979 when Soviet Union invaded Afghanistan, Pakistan opened its doors to millions of Refugees..A fact a lot of people now due to whatever God forsaken reason criticise. Some even claim Pakistan only allowed them because Pakistan had a hidden agenda of Colonising Afghanistan and getting international aid while they prepare Mujaheddin for world domination.

According to a newspaper "establishment post":

With the lives of thousands in jeopardy it is not chastisement but deafening silence that characterises Asean’s ‘response’. Asean as an organisation has said nothing at all, and Asean members seem to be complicit in the misery of the Rohingya rather than attempting to find a solution.

It is logistically very difficult for Pakistan to help Burma, however it is not impossible. Things can happen. Events can be set in motion. And I feel it would eventually be Pakistan who would settle the issue one way or another. However logistically its a seemingly impossible task. However Burmese Government hasn't even dream of what might come for them, well eventually. 

Lets keep the Grey area aside. Some two Million tourists visited Burma in 2013. What for? God alone knows. Probably because its cheap when Euro or Dollar is converted into Burmese currency. Contact between locals and tourists is discouraged by the Government. I wonder why do tourists go to Burma. Good lobbying the tourism would vanish. That's really not something difficult. Its all about perception, if reality about Burma is properly explained to people tourism in Burma would come to an abrupt halt. Most of the money from tourism never make it to people, private sector and to those who are in power.

Top five Nationalities to visit Burma are:

Thailand

China

Japan

United States

South Korea

Malaysia

France

Singapore

UK

Germany

All the respective Governments can be motivated. Thailand and Malaysia would be the first one to discourage their citizens. China Japan US SK SGP and EU countries can be convinced.

Shaikhs of Middle East with fat wallets can provide enough motivation to relevant parties. If not .. Well there are always grey areas..(psy ops etc)

Its about time someone helps them...!!!!!

The War in Yemen

O Lord send some peace in the region.

Who needed another war? Who planned it? And what for? Answer is clear and ..Well Iran should have thought before jumping into another war. Have they not caused enough destruction in Afghanistan and Iraq through their rag tag Shia militias and whatever tool they saw fit to use.

It amazes me how they can wear the white hat of righteous Islamic state while use "everything is fair in love and war" theory. Its time someone puts Iranians and Saudis in a room and sort out the issues. Syria.. Iraq.. Afghanistan.. Let them be independent nation states free of Iranian or Saudi influence. And quite frankly what Iran did in Iraq was their own fault, no one asked them or compelled them to do it. In Syria one might or might not blame Saudis or Americans but in Iraq Iran was complicit in removing Saddam, disbanding their military and loot and plunder by pro Iranian Government and Militias that followed.

They just needed their piece of pie, if that led to rise of ISIS apparently that's not a problem. Same thing in Afghanistan, when Soviets withdrawal and eventually the regime they installed collapsed Iran quickly jumped in to support Masood's faction starting a civil war in 1992 which continues to date. Iran happily collaborated with US in Afghanistan for sectarian reason and expansionist policies while happily calling it "the great devil".

This hypocrisy must end now. And I say that as a well wisher or Iran and Saudi Arabia. What Iran has done over the years would come to haunt them. Saudis have supported Wahabi brand of Islam. However they did not use minority sects as a collateral for their own benefits. Allegations of Racism on Iranian regime have already started.

Here are the possible outcomes

1.Iran backs out Houthis sign a peace deal Gov in Yemen is restored(doesn't seem likely).
2.Saudi Arabia and Iran make peace and a peace is negotiated on Syria and Yemen(not likely either)
3.Arabs and Iranians fight till one of them is left
4.A regime change in Iran.(possible in a few years) And by Regime I mean the whole structure that supports the revolution.
5.Arabs create a forces consisting of many countries, they need it for situations like Libya anyway. They either reinstall Government in Yemen either swiftly or in a bloody battle. Iran sits at home considering their houthi allies collateral and material for future propaganda.

Things are a mess. Serious leadership is needed. US is sitting back and is glad to watch anything that happens see and make a policy after the dust settles. So is the UN. The fact is Iran can not support the rag tag militias in Yemen and some forces loyal to them which are light infantry at best. And badly paid and self trained thugs at worst. Why Iran did what it did is another topic and my next blog post would probably be about it. It was a gross miscalculation on their part in any case.

Yemen issue and Pakistani Politicians

Is everything about petty politics now? Pakistani politicians sound like they are in some role play game of some sort, without a thought process of their own. The "ratta" or repeating what they hear or read is really amusing at times.

Ideally, Pakistan should mediate between Arabs and Iranians. However the leaders have are no where near Liaquat Ali Khan or Sir Zafrullah.

Closest thing we have to a leader is Imran Khan. He has resemblance to a person who can become a national leader. However I have serious doubts about his vision and understanding of foreign affairs and geopolitical realities. He has let down the nation once again.

Imran Khan has went against joining the coalition out rightly. This is simply outrageous. In the world we live in we can not be neutral. Ideally Pakistan should play the role of an aggressive peacemaker. Our foreign minister flying between Al Riyadh Tehran and wherever Yemeni rebels prefer. Why has the UN been already bypassed? An expected Russian Veto can be bypassed, there is precedence. However at least it should have been discussed in Security Council.

Then there is OIC. Yes it exists, it can be given a role. However all that is not happening and there is no possibility of thing changing hence the discussion itself might be futile. The world is a different place now, then it was a hundred years back. Arab Governments as someone rightly put it are not as strong as they once were(before Arab spring). Naturally jumping into what might become a full blown sectarian war is not good for Pakistan. However we have to see things objectively and in the long run.

Religion and sects aside. Who is winning? What are the goals of both parties? In my opinion Iran is on the wrong side of history. They are the main culprit behind post soviet Afghan Civil war.

They have portrayed themselves as messiahs of shias all over the world(which they are not). In reality they have cause massive suffering to shia community for the interest of their nation state. What business they had of supporting rebels in Yemen to topple the Government. How would an ungoverned state of Yemen not lead to rise of ISIS like groups controlling pockets or regions?

What about necessary services? What about people there? What about the human cost? Self righteousness is easy, facts are hard.

The question is what can and should Pakistan do? In my opinion joining the alliance is the right thing to do, however it should be strictly conditional. There is precedence for Military presence in Saudi Arabia for strictly defencive purpose it territorial integrity of Saudi Arabia is threatened or an outside force attacks the country. That is our best option and i Do think in the end Pakistan would take this option. We have extensive knowledge of low intensity conflicts and our military experts can help Saudis in advisory capacity.

Who are our friends in middle east who never back stabbed us? We all know that(issues with Wahabi militancy apart)? Turkey has already made their position crystal clear. They support Saudis. Probably after a hundred years. They can see ISIS is being replaced with equally brutal Shia militants.

Government in Yemen must be restored. If God Forbid Saudi Arabia is destabilised Pakistan is next on Iran's hit list considering their track record. They have collaborated with India to create unrest in Baluchistan in the past and supported shia militancy, not to mention attempted encirclement of Islamabad in the 1980s. Iran would end up being the loser when the dust settles. Its amusing to see how pro Iran clerics in Pakistan are propagating about peace with Afghanistan. US would NEVER side with Iran in the conflict in the long run and the white house has already made it clear.

Iran is a great country with great people and amazing history, their government needs a conciliatory approach then being passive aggressive and supporting militancy in other countries. Al Assad for example has lost, Syrians suffer(Wahabis to be blamed equally) and its time to negotiate for a new Government which Iran refuses. They are happy with Al Assad controlling a few urban centres and an official President.

What are our options? Should we reverse our policy altogether and stand with Iran who refuses to support us on Kashmir openly and remains a strategic partner of India(time for bitter truth). Then India with its scavenging foreign policy would move to Saudi Arabia. What Iran has to offer us anyway? They refused to give ue oil during Zardari era on deferred payments and we have to go to IMF(Neither did Saudis but thats a different issue, Zardari was pro Iranian). Would India then not rush to Saudi Arabia and try to fill the void?

Neutrality is not an option for us now, we must help Saudi Arabia restore peace in Yemen. However Pakistan should assure Iran it is strictly a defencive measure and any mischief from Iranian intelligence would be met with a similar response or worse. We are friends of Iran, if they that changed it means they had planned it all along. Iran has never been weaker militarily diplomatically or economically. We don't want to destabilise them further and we have always offered a secure border and it should remain this way.


That being said, the nation..  no matter what the views or sect should support the policy of Federal Government no matter what course they take.


Nawaz Sharif and his cabinet is simply incompetent, it should be a decision for the military.